Mike Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 18, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (+108/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to accumulate 9.8 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Mike Williams has compiled far more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (91.0 per game).
Mike Williams's 61.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 52.7.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.8%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.75 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.

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