Mike Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to accrue 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
Mike Williams has notched a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among WRs.
Mike Williams's 52.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for wideouts.
Mike Williams has been among the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 64.0 yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 9th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season, averaging 28.59 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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