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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Mike Williams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (23.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.0% in games he has played).

Mike Williams has posted a monstrous 91.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.

Mike Williams's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 61.0% to 55.9%.

The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 10th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

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