Mike White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Mike White

NFL · Player Props

Mike White

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mike White to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (8.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.0% in games he has played).
Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (146 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense this year.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mike White in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mike White to accumulate 2.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 11th-least of all QBs.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

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