Mike White Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mike White

NFL · Player Props

Mike White

QB · New York Jets

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike White Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 247.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 237.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.49 seconds per snap.
Mike White has attempted 36.7 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among QBs.
Mike White has been among the best quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 275.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Mike White's passing precision has tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.7% to 64.1%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 7.26 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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