Mike Thomas Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mike Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Mike Thomas

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Thomas Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-987).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Mike Thomas has notched many more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.7%) to WRs this year (68.7%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mike Thomas's 8.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in the NFL: 16th percentile for wide receivers.
Mike Thomas ranks in the 0th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.62 per game this year.

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