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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the model to finish in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets.

Mike Gesicki's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a material gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 2.0 figure.

Mike Gesicki's 84.6% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 68.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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