My Account Log Out

reorder

Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Mike Gesicki's 26.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's play as a receiver has been refined this year, accumulating 3.4 adjusted receptions vs a measly 2.0 last year.

Mike Gesicki's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 68.4% to 81.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the fierce Browns defense has yielded a meager 54.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

The Browns linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

More Mike Gesicki Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™