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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets.
  • Mike Gesicki's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 18.9.
  • Mike Gesicki's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, compiling 3.4 adjusted receptions vs just 2.0 last season.
  • Mike Gesicki's 81.4% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 68.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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