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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 61.5% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Mike Gesicki to total 4.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among TEs.

Mike Gesicki's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's receiving skills have gotten better this year, totaling 3.8 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 2.0 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 123.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

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