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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

In this contest, Mike Gesicki is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 4.7 targets.

Mike Gesicki's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's 3.4 adjusted catches per game this season represents an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 2.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

This year, the daunting Steelers defense has given up a puny 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Steelers linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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