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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Our trusted projections expect Mike Gesicki to total 4.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.

Mike Gesicki's 31.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's 3.8 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a substantial growth in his receiving skills over last year's 2.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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