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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mike Gesicki's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.3% to 70.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 126.6 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 56.2 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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