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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.

This year, the porous Chargers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

With a subpar 67.7% Adjusted Catch% (24th percentile) this year, Mike Gesicki rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

More Mike Gesicki Player Props

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