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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

The Patriots rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Mike Gesicki has run a route on 55.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.

Mike Gesicki has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs, catching just 66.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.9%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (67.9%).

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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