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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+148/-198).

  • Mike Gesicki has run a route on 78.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to total 4.3 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among TEs.
  • Mike Gesicki has been among the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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