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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is anticipated by the model to place in the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, Mike Gesicki ranks in the towering 80th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing an astounding 25.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.
  • As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Philadelphia's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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