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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets.

After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Gesicki has seen a big uptick this year, now sitting at 35.0 per game.

Mike Gesicki's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 18.9.

Mike Gesicki's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a noteable progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 17.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

This year, the stout Giants pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a paltry 2.8 YAC.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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