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Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 90th percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets.While Mike Gesicki has received 8.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's passing offense in this week's contest at 13.5%.When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the lofty 76th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 24.0 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.Mike Gesicki is positioned as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in just 68.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile.Mike Gesicki is positioned as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.68 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 12th percentile.
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