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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The projections expect Mike Gesicki to notch 3.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last season, Mike Gesicki has posted big gains this season, currently pacing 34.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.4%) vs. TEs this year (70.4%).

This year, the daunting Denver Broncos defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a measly 6.0 yards.

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