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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

In this contest, Mike Gesicki is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 4.7 targets.

Mike Gesicki has accrued many more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

Mike Gesicki's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 18.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

This year, the daunting Steelers defense has given up a puny 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a mere 6.7 yards.

The Steelers linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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