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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Mike Gesicki has run a route on 55.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile among TEs.

Mike Gesicki has totaled a colossal 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among tight ends.

Mike Gesicki's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 66.3% to 89.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Mike Gesicki's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, averaging a mere 6.92 yards-per-target vs a 8.39 rate last season.

The New York Jets linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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