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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
  • Mike Gesicki has posted a whopping 29.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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