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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Gesicki's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.3% to 70.2%.

This year, the weak Jets defense has given up the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a colossal 6.26 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 126.6 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Patriots have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 56.2 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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