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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.

When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the lofty 81st percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating an astounding 29.0 per game.

Mike Gesicki's 72.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a material progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 66.3% mark.

The New York Giants pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Mike Gesicki's 54.4% Snap% this season signifies a substantial gain in his offensive workload over last season's 42.6% figure.

The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Mike Gesicki's 18.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a significant decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 25.0 mark.

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