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Mike Gesicki
NFL · Player Props
Mike Gesicki
TE · Miami Dolphins
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.4% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to garner 3.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
  • Mike Gesicki's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.2% to 75.1%.
  • Mike Gesicki's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.38 yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.85 rate last year.
  • Mike Gesicki's skills in generating extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 4.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 2.85 rate last season.
Favors Under
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • Mike Gesicki has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).
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