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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+133/-176).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to notch 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • Mike Gesicki's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 67.2% to 83.7%.
  • Mike Gesicki's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 9.74 yards-per-target compared to just 6.85 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Mike Gesicki has been less involved as a potential target this year (54.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.7%).
  • Mike Gesicki has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).

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