My Account Log Out

reorder

Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 66.6% pass rate.

Mike Gesicki's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.2% to 90.6%.

Mike Gesicki's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 8.26 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.85 mark last year.

The New York Jets pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 9.19 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the league.

The New York Jets safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.77 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

Mike Gesicki has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (51.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.7%).

More Mike Gesicki Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™