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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to earn 3.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
  • Mike Gesicki's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 67.2% to 72.9%.
  • Mike Gesicki's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 9.02 yards-per-target compared to just 6.85 rate last year.
  • Mike Gesicki's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this year, accumulating 3.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.85 mark last year.
  • The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (52.0) versus tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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