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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to garner 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.

Mike Gesicki's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 67.2% to 73.8%.

Mike Gesicki's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 8.87 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.85 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

Mike Gesicki has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (59.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.7%).

More Mike Gesicki Player Props

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