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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-156/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Mike Evans to garner 8.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.

Mike Evans's 66.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 95th percentile for WRs.

The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

With an exceptional 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (79th percentile) this year, Mike Evans stands as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

Mike Evans's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 61.1% to 66.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest tempo out of all the games this week, averaging 26.41 seconds per play based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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