My Account Log Out

reorder

Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: most in the NFL.

In this contest, Mike Evans is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.

Mike Evans's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 55.0.

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The projections expect the Buccaneers as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Mike Evans Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™