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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Mike Evans's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 55.0.

Mike Evans rates as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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