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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 7.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

Mike Evans's 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 55.0.

With an outstanding 4.7 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Mike Evans places as one of the top WRs in the NFL in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Carolina's group of LBs has been very good this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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