My Account Log Out

reorder

Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Mike Evans to accrue 7.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Mike Evans's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 55.0.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

Mike Evans checks in as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 4.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (74.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.

More Mike Evans Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™