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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.5 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Mike Evans is projected by the model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.4 targets.

Mike Evans ranks in the 89th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 64.0 figure this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.

After averaging 118.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has seen a big downtick this year, currently sitting at 79.0 per game.

Mike Evans has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

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