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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack in this week's game (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.0% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

Mike Evans's 64.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 61.1% figure.

The Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.7%) versus wideouts this year (68.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

After averaging 118.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 76.0 per game.

Mike Evans's 57.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a significant decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 68.0 figure.

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