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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to air yards, Mike Evans ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling an impressive 117.0 per game.

Mike Evans's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 55.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

This year, the formidable Lions pass defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.4 YAC.

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