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Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-145/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 7.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among WRs.As it relates to air yards, Mike Evans ranks in the towering 97th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a whopping 118.0 per game.Mike Evans's 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 55.0.Mike Evans is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 71.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.Mike Evans's 4.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a remarkable improvement in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 2.6% figure.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.7 per game) this year.This year, the tough Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a paltry 117.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best in football.
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