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Mike Evans
NFL · Player Props
Mike Evans
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receiving Yards
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Mike Evans Receiving Yards

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to accrue 8.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Mike Evans has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (128.0 per game) than he did last year (117.0 per game).
  • Mike Evans's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 55.0.
  • With an impressive 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (90th percentile) this year, Mike Evans has been as one of the best WRs in the league in the NFL.
  • Mike Evans's 4.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteworthy gain in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 2.6% figure.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) versus wideouts this year.
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