Mike Evans Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Mike Evans to accrue 7.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Mike Evans's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 55.0.
When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
With a remarkable 63.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (84th percentile) this year, Mike Evans has been among the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
Mike Evans's 5.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a significant boost in his efficiency in space over last season's 2.6% figure.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
Mike Evans has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (110.0 per game) than he did last year (117.0 per game).

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