Mike Evans Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mike Evans has run a route on 89.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mike Evans's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 59.2%.
Mike Evans's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 8.38 yards-per-target compared to a 10.12 mark last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.

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