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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Mike Evans has run a route on 89.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mike Evans's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 59.2%.
  • Mike Evans's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 8.38 yards-per-target compared to a 10.12 mark last season.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.

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