Mike Evans Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 70.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Mike Evans's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 61.4%.
Mike Evans's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 8.78 yards-per-target vs a 10.12 rate last year.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 140.0) versus wide receivers this year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 7.53 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

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