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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

With an exceptional 87.0% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) this year, Michael Wilson rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.

The Dolphins safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

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