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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Michael Wilson has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this year (19.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).
  • Michael Wilson's 72.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a substantial gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 65.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

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