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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may slide.

Michael Wilson has run a route on 86.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Arizona offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (59.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a lowly 55.9 per game on average).

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.8%) versus WRs this year (58.8%).

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