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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Michael Wilson has run a route on 85.4% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

When it comes to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.37 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.8%) vs. WRs this year (55.8%).

The Jets linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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