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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Michael Wilson grades out in the 77th percentile among wide receivers this year with a remarkable 25.2% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Michael Wilson's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 37.8.

Michael Wilson's 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a noteable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 65.3% rate.

The Chargers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.12 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Michael Wilson's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging a measly 1.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.66 figure last season.

The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Michael Wilson Player Props

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