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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Michael Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this year (19.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).

Michael Wilson's 68.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 65.3% rate.

This year, the deficient San Francisco 49ers defense has been torched for the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a massive 4.78 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

Michael Wilson has posted far fewer air yards this year (52.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).

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