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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.

Michael Wilson has run a route on 86.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

Michael Wilson has garnered a monstrous 22.5% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Michael Wilson's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 65.3% to 85.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Michael Wilson's 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a material drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 9.5 mark.

Michael Wilson's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling just 1.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.66 figure last year.

The Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.05 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the league.

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